Probabilistic on Kwak Jazzhttps://gwils28.github.io/en/tags/probabilistic/Recent content in Probabilistic on Kwak JazzHugo -- gohugo.ioen© 2026 Wilson GomaMon, 09 Nov 2026 00:26:26 +0100Hierarchical forecast reconciliation: promises and limitshttps://gwils28.github.io/en/posts/reconciliation-hierarchique/Tue, 06 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://gwils28.github.io/en/posts/reconciliation-hierarchique/MinT guarantees coherence, not accuracy, and not calibration. Shown through theory, simulation, French grid data and count sales.